Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

9.55 – 390.17

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

76 – 394

Prediction correct · off by 35.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 185.2 ±13.9

1997STAGROBOTICS

Season APEX 80.7Event APEX 14.52Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1982Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 2.2Rank 38Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2410Blue Valley CAPS Metal Mustangs

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX -7.17Rank 33Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 587.8 ±11.2

2040DERT - Dunlap Eagles Robotics Team

Season APEX 192Event APEX 120.61Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9445The Brave Bots

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 20.15Rank 31Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 249.41Rank 1Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1997, 1982, 2410

/ 100 compat

Projected

9.5 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1997, 1982, 2410

Auto

26.7 100%

Teleop

-4.1 0%

Endgame

-13.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2040, 9445, 1987

/ 100 compat

Projected

390.2 pts

~2.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2040, 9445, 1987

Auto

61.1 16%

Teleop

220.0 58%

Endgame

99.4 26%

Strengths

· 1987 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.56 · Blue 2.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score9.5pts

Blue projected score390.2pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -380.6
Score range: -24–424
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 470 vs event baseline 189.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

185.2Season APEX587.8

26.7Auto61.1

-4.1Teleop220

-13.4Endgame99.4

65Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	87
teleop	25	232
endgame	29	75
foul	0	0
total	76	394

Result

Final score

76 – 394

Prediction correct · off by 35.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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