Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

208.94 – 290.37

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

192 – 271

Prediction correct · off by 18.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 397.4 ±12.8

9570Valiant

Season APEX 92.2Event APEX 50.47Rank 12Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1108Panther Robotics

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 135.76Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9445The Brave Bots

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 22.71Rank 31Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 395.1 ±12.4

4766Team SCREAM Jr.

Season APEX 206.1Event APEX 145.87Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1730Team Driven

Season APEX 119.4Event APEX 94.49Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1806S.W.A.T.

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 50.01Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9570, 1108, 9445

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.9 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9570, 1108, 9445

Auto

29.0 14%

Teleop

129.0 63%

Endgame

47.4 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4766, 1730, 1806

/ 100 compat

Projected

290.4 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 4766, 1730, 1806

Auto

37.0 13%

Teleop

161.6 57%

Endgame

84.1 30%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.28 · Blue 2.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score208.9pts

Blue projected score290.4pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -81.4
Score range: 175–324
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 463 vs event baseline 188.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

397.4Season APEX395.1

29Auto37

129Teleop161.6

47.4Endgame84.1

46Consistency107

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	34
teleop	112	160
endgame	68	72
foul	0	5
total	192	271

Result

Final score

192 – 271

Prediction correct · off by 18.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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