Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

137.09 – 266.99

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

102 – 232

Prediction correct · off by 35 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 224.5 ±12.7

1208Metool Brigade

Season APEX 70.4Event APEX 32.63Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1764Liberty Robotics

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 37.27Rank 22Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4329Lutheran Roboteers

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 67.19Rank 24Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 438.5 ±13.7

2410Blue Valley CAPS Metal Mustangs

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX -3.26Rank 33Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

7064Voltron Robotics

Season APEX 67.4Event APEX 19.34Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 250.91Rank 1Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1208, 1764, 4329

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.1 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1208, 1764, 4329

Auto

28.3 21%

Teleop

82.3 60%

Endgame

25.6 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2410, 7064, 1987

/ 100 compat

Projected

267 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2410, 7064, 1987

Auto

62.9 24%

Teleop

150.9 58%

Endgame

48.3 18%

Strengths

· 1987 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score137.1pts

Blue projected score267pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -129.9
Score range: 103–301
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 334 vs event baseline 189.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

224.5Season APEX438.5

28.3Auto62.9

82.3Teleop150.9

25.6Endgame48.3

4Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	72
teleop	56	108
endgame	22	42
foul	0	10
total	102	232

Result

Final score

102 – 232

Prediction correct · off by 35 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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