Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.76 – 152.6

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 43.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 251 ±19.2

2560RoboDog

Provisional

Season APEX 82Event APEX 29.84Rank 41Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

2001HERMES

Provisional

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 32.84Rank 39Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

11171Hi Gear

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 32.08Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 252.6 ±14.5

1723The FBI - FIRST Bots of Independence

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 68.82Rank 10Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1825The Cyborgs

Season APEX 94.4Event APEX 71.93Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

9031Wildbots

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 11.85Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2560, 2001, 11171

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.8 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 2560, 2001, 11171

Auto

30.2 31%

Teleop

27.9 28%

Endgame

40.9 41%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1723, 1825, 9031

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.6 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 1723, 1825, 9031

Auto

30.5 20%

Teleop

65.9 43%

Endgame

58.6 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.27 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score94.8pts

Blue projected score152.6pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -57.8
Score range: 61–187
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 161 vs event baseline 190.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

251Season APEX252.6

30.2Auto30.5

27.9Teleop65.9

40.9Endgame58.6

1Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	25
teleop	21	71
endgame	13	15
foul	0	0
total	50	111

Result

Final score

50 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 43.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.