Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.86 – 211.43

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 186

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 173.2 ±13.4

1982Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 1.11Rank 38Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1785Blue Springs Robocats

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 16.55Rank 37Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8112Cyclotrons

Season APEX 65.9Event APEX 34.2Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 401 ±12.8

1997STAGROBOTICS

Season APEX 80.7Event APEX 14.59Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4455The Burger Bots

Season APEX 53.8Event APEX 1.89Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1710The Ravonics Revolution

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 194.95Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1982, 1785, 8112

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.9 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 1982, 1785, 8112

Auto

23.3 42%

Teleop

13.5 24%

Endgame

18.9 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1997, 4455, 1710

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.4 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 1997, 4455, 1710

Auto

56.3 27%

Teleop

109.0 52%

Endgame

42.4 20%

Strengths

· 1710 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.84 · Blue 2.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score51.9pts

Blue projected score211.4pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -159.6
Score range: 17–246
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 229 vs event baseline 192.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

173.2Season APEX401

23.3Auto56.3

13.5Teleop109

18.9Endgame42.4

34Consistency110

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	40
teleop	17	96
endgame	10	50
foul	0	0
total	43	186

Result

Final score

43 – 186

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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