Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

125.72 – 70.14

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

133 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 13.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 311.2 ±12.8

1806S.W.A.T.

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 56.79Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

5801CTC Inspire

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 33.24Rank 23Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1764Liberty Robotics

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 35.69Rank 22Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 183.8 ±16.6

2001HERMES

Provisional

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 22.97Rank 39Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

1785Blue Springs Robocats

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 14.56Rank 37Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1827THE HIVE

Season APEX 69.7Event APEX 32.61Rank 36Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1806, 5801, 1764

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.7 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1806, 5801, 1764

Auto

19.5 16%

Teleop

65.2 52%

Endgame

39.6 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2001, 1785, 1827

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.1 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 2001, 1785, 1827

Auto

13.3 19%

Teleop

24.2 35%

Endgame

32.5 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.11 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score125.7pts

Blue projected score70.1pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 55.6
Score range: 34–162
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 184 vs event baseline 202.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

311.2Season APEX183.8

19.5Auto13.3

65.2Teleop24.2

39.6Endgame32.5

55Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	15
teleop	74	20
endgame	43	16
foul	0	0
total	133	51

Result

Final score

133 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 13.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.