Qualification · Qualification 57
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
353.72 – 45.34
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
370 – 111
Prediction correct · off by 41 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 480.3 ±12.8
Season APEX 119.4Event APEX 91.44Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 193.38Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 94.4Event APEX 68.9Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 382.4 ±12.4
Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 13.25Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 2.77Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 29.32Rank 23Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1730, 1710, 1825
83
/ 100 compatProjected
353.7 pts
~2.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 1730, 1710, 1825
Auto
57.7 17%
Teleop
209.7 60%
Endgame
79.9 23%
Strengths
- · 1710 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 73%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5968, 9031, 5801
27
/ 100 compatProjected
45.3 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 5968, 9031, 5801
Auto
18.7 39%
Teleop
25.3 53%
Endgame
4.0 8%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 73%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.83 · Blue 0.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score353.7pts
Blue projected score45.3pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 73%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 308.4
- Score range
- 11–388
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
480.3Season APEX382.4
57.7Auto18.7
209.7Teleop25.3
79.9Endgame4
81Consistency34
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 68 | 38 |
| teleop | 205 | 32 |
| endgame | 97 | 36 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 370 | 111 |
Result
Final score
370 – 111
Prediction correct · off by 41 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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