Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

128.9 – 420.74

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

155 – 467

Prediction correct · off by 36.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 232.1 ±12.7

1997STAGROBOTICS

Season APEX 80.7Event APEX 8.72Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1785Blue Springs Robocats

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 27.89Rank 37Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3184Blaze Robotics

Season APEX 101.2Event APEX 92.29Rank 9Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 686.2 ±9.8

2333Sapulpa Robotics Team

Season APEX 143Event APEX 33.61Rank 32Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4522Team SCREAM

A+

Season APEX 310.1Event APEX 238.99Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1108Panther Robotics

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 148.14Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1997, 1785, 3184

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.9 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1997, 1785, 3184

Auto

14.1 11%

Teleop

76.4 59%

Endgame

38.8 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2333, 4522, 1108

/ 100 compat

Projected

420.7 pts

~2.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2333, 4522, 1108

Auto

84.3 20%

Teleop

227.0 54%

Endgame

108.1 26%

Strengths

· 4522 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.72 · Blue 2.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score128.9pts

Blue projected score420.7pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -291.8
Score range: 95–455
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 622 vs event baseline 190.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

232.1Season APEX686.2

14.1Auto84.3

76.4Teleop227

38.8Endgame108.1

76Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	41
teleop	81	302
endgame	44	124
foul	0	0
total	155	467

Result

Final score

155 – 467

Prediction correct · off by 36.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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