Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

201.3190.09

80%20%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

96181

Prediction missed · off by 98.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 324.9 ±15.1
Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 33.03Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 101.2Event APEX 114.04Rank 9Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
2560RoboDog
Provisional
Season APEX 82Event APEX 54.24Rank 41Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 331.8 ±12.9
Season APEX 214Event APEX 107.1Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 70.4Event APEX 5.99Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.4Event APEX -23Rank 33Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5968, 3184, 2560
62
/ 100 compat
Projected
201.3 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 5968, 3184, 2560
Auto
27.2 13%
Teleop
116.2 57%
Endgame
60.5 30%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1939, 1208, 2410
43
/ 100 compat
Projected
90.1 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 1939, 1208, 2410
Auto
22.9 26%
Teleop
43.4 50%
Endgame
20.6 24%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.24 · Blue 1.01
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score201.3pts
Blue projected score90.1pts
Red win probability80%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
111.2
Score range
55236
Upset likelihood
20%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 277 vs event baseline 192.4.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

324.9Season APEX331.8
27.2Auto22.9
116.2Teleop43.4
60.5Endgame20.6
52Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3958
teleop4586
endgame1217
foul020
total96181

Result

Final score

96181

Prediction missed · off by 98.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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