Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

55.47 – 211.99

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

75 – 231

Prediction correct · off by 19.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 218.5 ±13.9

7064Voltron Robotics

Season APEX 67.4Event APEX 23.27Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1997STAGROBOTICS

Season APEX 80.7Event APEX 25.25Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1208Metool Brigade

Season APEX 70.4Event APEX 6.95Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 420.9 ±11.2

5968Little Apple Cyborgs

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 29.82Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4766Team SCREAM Jr.

Season APEX 206.1Event APEX 134.58Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11195VOLT Robotics

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 47.59Rank 40Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7064, 1997, 1208

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.5 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 7064, 1997, 1208

Auto

15.6 31%

Teleop

21.3 42%

Endgame

13.7 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5968, 4766, 11195

/ 100 compat

Projected

212 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 5968, 4766, 11195

Auto

38.5 19%

Teleop

111.1 53%

Endgame

58.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.84 · Blue 2.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score55.5pts

Blue projected score212pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -156.5
Score range: 19–248
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 306 vs event baseline 202.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

218.5Season APEX420.9

15.6Auto38.5

21.3Teleop111.1

13.7Endgame58.3

52Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	15
teleop	29	164
endgame	26	52
foul	0	0
total	75	231

Result

Final score

75 – 231

Prediction correct · off by 19.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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