Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

293.78 – 113.87

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

188 – 126

Prediction correct · off by 59 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 505.6 ±11.2

4455The Burger Bots

Season APEX 53.8Event APEX -6.41Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4522Team SCREAM

A+

Season APEX 310.1Event APEX 227.89Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5968Little Apple Cyborgs

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 72.3Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 301.6 ±15.1

4329Lutheran Roboteers

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 29.69Rank 24Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2560RoboDog

Provisional

Season APEX 82Event APEX 43.74Rank 41Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

2333Sapulpa Robotics Team

Season APEX 143Event APEX 40.44Rank 32Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4455, 4522, 5968

/ 100 compat

Projected

293.8 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4455, 4522, 5968

Auto

91.4 31%

Teleop

131.1 45%

Endgame

72.1 24%

Strengths

· 4522 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4329, 2560, 2333

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.9 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 4329, 2560, 2333

Auto

32.8 28%

Teleop

57.6 49%

Endgame

26.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score293.8pts

Blue projected score113.9pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 179.9
Score range: 79–329
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 314 vs event baseline 191.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

505.6Season APEX301.6

91.4Auto32.8

131.1Teleop57.6

72.1Endgame26.5

164Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	96	30
teleop	61	66
endgame	26	30
foul	5	0
total	188	126

Result

Final score

188 – 126

Prediction correct · off by 59 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.