Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

436.68 – 138.83

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

442 – 148

Prediction correct · off by 7.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 621.1 ±11.9

1108Panther Robotics

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 143.65Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 232.37Rank 1Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8770FireBolts

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 60.66Rank 35Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 255 ±15

8112Cyclotrons

Season APEX 65.9Event APEX 32.46Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1827THE HIVE

Season APEX 69.7Event APEX 20.55Rank 36Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1730Team Driven

Season APEX 119.4Event APEX 85.82Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1108, 1987, 8770

/ 100 compat

Projected

436.7 pts

~2.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 1108, 1987, 8770

Auto

82.9 19%

Teleop

262.1 60%

Endgame

92.2 21%

Strengths

· 1987 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8112, 1827, 1730

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.8 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 8112, 1827, 1730

Auto

25.7 20%

Teleop

50.9 40%

Endgame

49.7 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.79 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score436.7pts

Blue projected score138.8pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 297.9
Score range: 105–471
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 590 vs event baseline 190.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

621.1Season APEX255

82.9Auto25.7

262.1Teleop50.9

92.2Endgame49.7

108Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	86	22
teleop	279	91
endgame	72	30
foul	5	5
total	442	148

Result

Final score

442 – 148

Prediction correct · off by 7.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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