Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

144.28 – 236.03

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 411

Prediction correct · off by 135.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 245.6 ±15

7064Voltron Robotics

Season APEX 67.4Event APEX 54.92Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

11171Hi Gear

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 6Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

11195VOLT Robotics

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 83.36Rank 40Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 444.3 ±12.9

3184Blaze Robotics

Season APEX 101.2Event APEX 80.85Rank 9Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9031Wildbots

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 11.75Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1710The Ravonics Revolution

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 143.43Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7064, 11171, 11195

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.3 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7064, 11171, 11195

Auto

19.3 14%

Teleop

72.4 51%

Endgame

49.5 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3184, 9031, 1710

/ 100 compat

Projected

236 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 3184, 9031, 1710

Auto

19.0 8%

Teleop

127.5 55%

Endgame

86.0 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.16 · Blue 2.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score144.3pts

Blue projected score236pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -91.7
Score range: 110–270
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 459 vs event baseline 188.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

245.6Season APEX444.3

19.3Auto19

72.4Teleop127.5

49.5Endgame86

37Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	65
teleop	12	236
endgame	18	95
foul	0	15
total	48	411

Result

Final score

48 – 411

Prediction correct · off by 135.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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