Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

104.15 – 163.68

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

137 – 107

Prediction missed · off by 44.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 347.5 ±15.1

5801CTC Inspire

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 6.36Rank 23Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5268The BioMech Falcons

Season APEX 119.5Event APEX 67.8Rank 11Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2001HERMES

Provisional

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 29.99Rank 39Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.1 ±13.9

9445The Brave Bots

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 7.54Rank 31Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4213MetalCow Robotics

Season APEX 98.6Event APEX 55.27Rank 20Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1825The Cyborgs

Season APEX 94.4Event APEX 100.87Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5801, 5268, 2001

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.2 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 5801, 5268, 2001

Auto

36.4 35%

Teleop

53.4 51%

Endgame

15.5 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9445, 4213, 1825

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.7 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9445, 4213, 1825

Auto

30.8 20%

Teleop

75.8 48%

Endgame

49.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.3 · Blue 2.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score104.2pts

Blue projected score163.7pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -59.5
Score range: 70–198
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 244 vs event baseline 191.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

347.5Season APEX265.1

36.4Auto30.8

53.4Teleop75.8

15.5Endgame49.7

124Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	21
teleop	82	41
endgame	32	45
foul	0	0
total	137	107

Result

Final score

137 – 107

Prediction missed · off by 44.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.