Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

166.92 – 137.6

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

209 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 28.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 348 ±14.1

8770FireBolts

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 39.63Rank 35Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

1827THE HIVE

Season APEX 69.7Event APEX 18.44Rank 36Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1939THE KUHNIGHTS

Season APEX 214Event APEX 108.85Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.5 ±13.9

11195VOLT Robotics

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 92.61Rank 40Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1806S.W.A.T.

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 51.23Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4455The Burger Bots

Season APEX 53.8Event APEX -6.24Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8770, 1827, 1939

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.9 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8770, 1827, 1939

Auto

27.4 17%

Teleop

96.0 60%

Endgame

37.8 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11195, 1806, 4455

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.6 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 11195, 1806, 4455

Auto

28.5 21%

Teleop

60.1 45%

Endgame

45.7 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score166.9pts

Blue projected score137.6pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 29.3
Score range: 102–203
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 197.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

348Season APEX196.5

27.4Auto28.5

96Teleop60.1

37.8Endgame45.7

9Consistency142

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	44
teleop	96	41
endgame	85	33
foul	15	5
total	209	123

Result

Final score

209 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 28.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.