Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

64.99 – 314.39

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

46 – 313

Prediction correct · off by 10.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 201.5 ±17

9445The Brave Bots

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 15.5Rank 31Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2410Blue Valley CAPS Metal Mustangs

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX -10.12Rank 33Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2560RoboDog

Provisional

Season APEX 82Event APEX 59.61Rank 41Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 486.6 ±15.3

4522Team SCREAM

A+

Season APEX 310.1Event APEX 215.58Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1802Team Stealth

Season APEX 112.6Event APEX 66.8Rank 14Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2001HERMES

Provisional

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 32.01Rank 39Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9445, 2410, 2560

/ 100 compat

Projected

65 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9445, 2410, 2560

Auto

48.5 81%

Teleop

18.7 31%

Endgame

-7.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4522, 1802, 2001

/ 100 compat

Projected

314.4 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 4522, 1802, 2001

Auto

78.5 25%

Teleop

161.8 51%

Endgame

75.7 24%

Strengths

· 4522 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score65pts

Blue projected score314.4pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -249.4
Score range: 29–350
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 359 vs event baseline 198.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

201.5Season APEX486.6

48.5Auto78.5

18.7Teleop161.8

-7.5Endgame75.7

42Consistency129

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	116
teleop	10	97
endgame	6	100
foul	0	0
total	46	313

Result

Final score

46 – 313

Prediction correct · off by 10.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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