Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

232.49 – 287.27

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

388 – 425

Prediction correct · off by 146.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 466.5 ±13

1827THE HIVE

Season APEX 69.7Event APEX -30.62Rank 36Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92

11195VOLT Robotics

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 56.94Rank 40Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 206.17Rank 1Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 471.9 ±13

4522Team SCREAM

A+

Season APEX 310.1Event APEX 168.28Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1825The Cyborgs

Season APEX 94.4Event APEX 78.01Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

7064Voltron Robotics

Season APEX 67.4Event APEX 40.98Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1827, 11195, 1987

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.5 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 1827, 11195, 1987

Auto

51.7 23%

Teleop

134.1 59%

Endgame

40.3 18%

Strengths

· 1987 anchors offense

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4522, 1825, 7064

/ 100 compat

Projected

287.3 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 4522, 1825, 7064

Auto

52.8 19%

Teleop

144.3 51%

Endgame

87.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.42 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score232.5pts

Blue projected score287.3pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -54.8
Score range: 198–321
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 813 vs event baseline 189.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

466.5Season APEX471.9

51.7Auto52.8

134.1Teleop144.3

40.3Endgame87

59Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	102
teleop	202	221
endgame	103	102
foul	10	0
total	388	425

Result

Final score

388 – 425

Prediction correct · off by 146.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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