Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

131.17 – 151.11

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

27 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 85 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 298.8 ±12.8

681710 Factorial

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 70.49Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9445The Brave Bots

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 41.93Rank 31Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5801CTC Inspire

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 18.75Rank 23Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 398.4 ±12.9

5098STING - R

Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 69.69Rank 34Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11171Hi Gear

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX -11.09Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1108Panther Robotics

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 92.51Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6817, 9445, 5801

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.2 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6817, 9445, 5801

Auto

11.6 9%

Teleop

66.7 52%

Endgame

49.7 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5098, 11171, 1108

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.1 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 5098, 11171, 1108

Auto

43.6 28%

Teleop

80.5 52%

Endgame

29.3 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.59 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score131.2pts

Blue projected score151.1pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -19.9
Score range: 95–187
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 244 vs event baseline 198.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

298.8Season APEX398.4

11.6Auto43.6

66.7Teleop80.5

49.7Endgame29.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	21
teleop	0	128
endgame	0	68
foul	5	0
total	27	217

Result

Final score

27 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 85 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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