Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

148.02 – 227.9

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

250 – 431

Prediction correct · off by 152.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 408.9 ±12.2

9570Valiant

Season APEX 92.2Event APEX 3.59Rank 12Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1710The Ravonics Revolution

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 135.45Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1785Blue Springs Robocats

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 8.98Rank 37Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 614.3 ±10.5

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 160.39Rank 1Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1939THE KUHNIGHTS

Season APEX 214Event APEX 78.51Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4329Lutheran Roboteers

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX -11Rank 24Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9570, 1710, 1785

/ 100 compat

Projected

148 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9570, 1710, 1785

Auto

29.6 20%

Teleop

89.8 62%

Endgame

26.1 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1987, 1939, 4329

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.9 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1987, 1939, 4329

Auto

43.6 19%

Teleop

130.4 58%

Endgame

50.9 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.29 · Blue 2.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score148pts

Blue projected score227.9pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -79.9
Score range: 114–262
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 681 vs event baseline 188.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

408.9Season APEX614.3

29.6Auto43.6

89.8Teleop130.4

26.1Endgame50.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	107
teleop	129	247
endgame	67	72
foul	0	5
total	250	431

Result

Final score

250 – 431

Prediction correct · off by 152.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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