Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

201.29 – 139

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

259 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 34.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 371 ±12.8

1939THE KUHNIGHTS

Season APEX 214Event APEX 105.39Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

681710 Factorial

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 28.87Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1825The Cyborgs

Season APEX 94.4Event APEX 67.03Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 255.1 ±15

9031Wildbots

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 13.82Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92

8112Cyclotrons

Season APEX 65.9Event APEX 34.44Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1802Team Stealth

Season APEX 112.6Event APEX 90.74Rank 14Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1939, 6817, 1825

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.3 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1939, 6817, 1825

Auto

42.5 22%

Teleop

105.7 53%

Endgame

49.4 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9031, 8112, 1802

/ 100 compat

Projected

139 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9031, 8112, 1802

Auto

41.3 30%

Teleop

67.6 49%

Endgame

30.3 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.14 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score201.3pts

Blue projected score139pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 62.3
Score range: 103–237
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 386 vs event baseline 202.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

371Season APEX255.1

42.5Auto41.3

105.7Teleop67.6

49.4Endgame30.3

30Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	38
teleop	155	46
endgame	76	43
foul	0	0
total	259	127

Result

Final score

259 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 34.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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