Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

530.38 – 290.2

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

494 – 296

Prediction correct · off by 21.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 776.8 ±9.3

2333Sapulpa Robotics Team

Season APEX 143Event APEX 46.08Rank 32Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 239.16Rank 1Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4522Team SCREAM

A+

Season APEX 310.1Event APEX 245.14Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 539.8 ±9.8

4766Team SCREAM Jr.

Season APEX 206.1Event APEX 134.51Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2040DERT - Dunlap Eagles Robotics Team

Season APEX 192Event APEX 126.09Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5968Little Apple Cyborgs

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 29.6Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2333, 1987, 4522

/ 100 compat

Projected

530.4 pts

~2.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2333, 1987, 4522

Auto

105.8 20%

Teleop

297.5 57%

Endgame

120.0 23%

Strengths

· 4522 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4766, 2040, 5968

/ 100 compat

Projected

290.2 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4766, 2040, 5968

Auto

43.4 15%

Teleop

160.5 55%

Endgame

85.3 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.78 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score530.4pts

Blue projected score290.2pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 240.2
Score range: 254–566
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 790 vs event baseline 200.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

776.8Season APEX539.8

105.8Auto43.4

297.5Teleop160.5

120Endgame85.3

17Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	110	35
teleop	235	151
endgame	149	90
foul	0	20
total	494	296

Result

Final score

494 – 296

Prediction correct · off by 21.1 pts

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