Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

223.02 – 320.58

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

220 – 354

Prediction correct · off by 18.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 480.3 ±13

695Bison Robotics

A+

Season APEX 302.1Event APEX 108.9Rank 10Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4663Cyber Tigers

Season APEX 102.4Event APEX 69.67Rank 7Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7531Servos Strike Back

Season APEX 75.8Event APEX 44.45Rank 19Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 581.4 ±12.4

4174Mustang Robotics

Season APEX 253.3Event APEX 123.32Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7858Warriors

Season APEX 87.1Event APEX 65.53Rank 14Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86

111WildStang

Season APEX 241Event APEX 131.73Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 695, 4663, 7531

/ 100 compat

Projected

223 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 695, 4663, 7531

Auto

45.1 20%

Teleop

126.4 56%

Endgame

53.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4174, 7858, 111

/ 100 compat

Projected

320.6 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 4174, 7858, 111

Auto

60.1 19%

Teleop

177.2 57%

Endgame

76.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.08 · Blue 2.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score223pts

Blue projected score320.6pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -97.6
Score range: 195–349
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 574 vs event baseline 155.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

480.3Season APEX581.4

45.1Auto60.1

126.4Teleop177.2

53.3Endgame76.1

45Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	53
teleop	88	219
endgame	90	82
foul	0	0
total	220	354

Result

Final score

220 – 354

Prediction correct · off by 18.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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