Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
65.33 – 66.29
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
184 – 84
Prediction missed · off by 68.2 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 449.1 ±13.5
Season APEX 73.6Event APEX -Rank 15Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 253.3Event APEX -Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 21.14Rank 20Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 359.9 ±13.5
Season APEX 71.1Event APEX -Rank 30Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 83.6Event APEX -Rank 34Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 205.2Event APEX -Rank 9Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5914, 4174, 967
50
/ 100 compatProjected
65.3 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 5914, 4174, 967
Auto
16.4 25%
Teleop
35.0 54%
Endgame
14.0 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5541, 5822, 3061
50
/ 100 compatProjected
66.3 pts
~1.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 5541, 5822, 3061
Auto
19.9 30%
Teleop
33.1 50%
Endgame
13.3 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 62%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.53
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score65.3pts
Blue projected score66.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 62%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -1
- Score range
- 41–90
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
449.1Season APEX359.9
3.1Auto-
12.9Teleop-
5.1Endgame-
0Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 26 | 38 |
| teleop | 106 | 38 |
| endgame | 52 | 8 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 184 | 84 |
Result
Final score
184 – 84
Prediction missed · off by 68.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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