Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

78.64 – 229.41

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

82 – 287

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 258.9 ±13.3

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 35.26Rank 32Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

525Swartdogs

Season APEX 69.7Event APEX 15.6Rank 39Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2358Bearbotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 27.78Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 517.1 ±11

9082No Limit

Season APEX 84.4Event APEX 45.27Rank 24Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3928Team Neutrino

Season APEX 227.5Event APEX 118.88Rank 5Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 65.26Rank 9Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 112, 525, 2358

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.6 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 112, 525, 2358

Auto

24.2 30%

Teleop

29.0 36%

Endgame

27.1 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9082, 3928, 3061

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.4 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9082, 3928, 3061

Auto

53.0 23%

Teleop

113.2 49%

Endgame

64.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score78.6pts

Blue projected score229.4pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -150.8
Score range: 51–257
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 369 vs event baseline 155.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

258.9Season APEX517.1

24.2Auto53

29Teleop113.2

27.1Endgame64.5

48Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	41
teleop	51	171
endgame	18	70
foul	5	5
total	82	287

Result

Final score

82 – 287

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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