Qualification · Qualification 66
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
69.3 – 20.64
65%35%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
110 – 72
Prediction correct · off by 46 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 235.7 ±15.6
Season APEX 75.8Event APEX 34.57Rank 19Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 11.89Rank 33Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 83.8Event APEX 22.84Rank 21Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.2 ±15.6
5339Hurricanes
Provisional
Season APEX 33.7Event APEX 10.63Rank 41Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 2.37Rank 36Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 7.64Rank 31Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7531, 2667, 7850
38
/ 100 compatProjected
69.3 pts
~1.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 7531, 2667, 7850
Auto
8.5 12%
Teleop
40.6 58%
Endgame
21.3 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5339, 2290, 3284
9
/ 100 compatProjected
20.6 pts
~1.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 5339, 2290, 3284
Auto
11.8 100%
Teleop
-2.6 0%
Endgame
-2.2 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.22
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score69.3pts
Blue projected score20.6pts
Red win probability65%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 48.7
- Score range
- -8–98
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
235.7Season APEX346.2
8.5Auto11.8
40.6Teleop-2.6
21.3Endgame-2.2
39Consistency72
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 14 |
| teleop | 49 | 37 |
| endgame | 14 | 16 |
| foul | 30 | 5 |
| total | 110 | 72 |
Result
Final score
110 – 72
Prediction correct · off by 46 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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