Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

71.77 – 183.33

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 45.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 387.7 ±13.5

5822WolfByte

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 36.27Rank 34Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3284Camdenton LASER 3284

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 12.02Rank 31Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3055Furious George

Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 23.48Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 570.4 ±11.2

3206Royal T-Wrecks

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 9.29Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 65.19Rank 9Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

695Bison Robotics

A+

Season APEX 302.1Event APEX 108.85Rank 10Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5822, 3284, 3055

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.8 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 5822, 3284, 3055

Auto

17.1 28%

Teleop

30.9 50%

Endgame

14.1 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3206, 3061, 695

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.3 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 3206, 3061, 695

Auto

45.6 25%

Teleop

99.9 54%

Endgame

38.9 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score71.8pts

Blue projected score183.3pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -111.6
Score range: 44–211
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 276 vs event baseline 152.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

387.7Season APEX570.4

17.1Auto45.6

30.9Teleop99.9

14.1Endgame38.9

63Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	63
teleop	9	117
endgame	16	59
foul	0	0
total	37	239

Result

Final score

37 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 45.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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