Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

110.66 – 147.84

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

179 – 267

Prediction correct · off by 93.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 414.6 ±15.8

11246Tiger Byte

Provisional

Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 27.8Rank 38Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

5541Shakopee Sabers

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 10.02Rank 30Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

695Bison Robotics

A+

Season APEX 302.1Event APEX 72.84Rank 10Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 550.5 ±12.4

4646Wildcard Robotics

Season APEX 289.8Event APEX 114.67Rank 2Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2530Inconceivable

Season APEX 184.6Event APEX 34.02Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2667Knights of the Valley

Season APEX 76.1Event APEX -0.85Rank 33Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11246, 5541, 695

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.7 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 11246, 5541, 695

Auto

26.5 22%

Teleop

55.4 45%

Endgame

40.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4646, 2530, 2667

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.8 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 4646, 2530, 2667

Auto

31.9 21%

Teleop

90.1 59%

Endgame

30.0 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score110.7pts

Blue projected score147.8pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -37.2
Score range: 84–175
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 446 vs event baseline 149.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

414.6Season APEX550.5

26.5Auto31.9

55.4Teleop90.1

40Endgame30

42Consistency165

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	33
teleop	94	156
endgame	51	78
foul	0	0
total	179	267

Result

Final score

179 – 267

Prediction correct · off by 93.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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