Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

194.78 – 75.93

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

217 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 15.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 466.5 ±13.5

4143MARS/WARS

Season APEX 274.6Event APEX 118.97Rank 1Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3055Furious George

Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 29.17Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

4663Cyber Tigers

Season APEX 102.4Event APEX 46.64Rank 7Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 284.7 ±13.9

7850Bio-Bots

Season APEX 83.8Event APEX 25.78Rank 21Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2549Millerbots

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 28.7Rank 35Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

112Plus One

Season APEX 90.2Event APEX 21.45Rank 32Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4143, 3055, 4663

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.8 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 4143, 3055, 4663

Auto

30.1 17%

Teleop

85.6 48%

Endgame

63.0 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7850, 2549, 112

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.9 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 7850, 2549, 112

Auto

10.7 13%

Teleop

41.1 51%

Endgame

28.2 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.27 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score194.8pts

Blue projected score75.9pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 118.9
Score range: 50–221
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 285 vs event baseline 144.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

466.5Season APEX284.7

30.1Auto10.7

85.6Teleop41.1

63Endgame28.2

129Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	5
teleop	112	37
endgame	56	21
foul	0	5
total	217	68

Result

Final score

217 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 15.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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