Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
129.15 – 99.12
59%41%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
95 – 66
Prediction correct · off by 33.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 310.5 ±15.6
Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 52.89Rank 9Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
5339Hurricanes
Provisional
Season APEX 33.7Event APEX 32.41Rank 41Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 71.6Event APEX 43.85Rank 11Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 201.1 ±17
Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 13.76Rank 33Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 25.71Rank 34Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95
11246Tiger Byte
Provisional
Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 59.65Rank 38Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3061, 5339, 2508
63
/ 100 compatProjected
129.2 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 3061, 5339, 2508
Auto
38.6 29%
Teleop
58.5 44%
Endgame
37.2 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2667, 5822, 11246
56
/ 100 compatProjected
99.1 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 2667, 5822, 11246
Auto
22.1 20%
Teleop
53.5 50%
Endgame
32.4 30%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.38
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score129.2pts
Blue projected score99.1pts
Red win probability59%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 30
- Score range
- 72–156
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
310.5Season APEX201.1
38.6Auto22.1
58.5Teleop53.5
37.2Endgame32.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 18 |
| teleop | 29 | 31 |
| endgame | 33 | 17 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 95 | 66 |
Result
Final score
95 – 66
Prediction correct · off by 33.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.