Skip to content
Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

129.1599.12

59%41%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

9566

Prediction correct · off by 33.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 310.5 ±15.6
Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 52.89Rank 9Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
5339Hurricanes
Provisional
Season APEX 33.7Event APEX 32.41Rank 41Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 71.6Event APEX 43.85Rank 11Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 201.1 ±17
Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 13.76Rank 33Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 25.71Rank 34Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95
11246Tiger Byte
Provisional
Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 59.65Rank 38Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3061, 5339, 2508
63
/ 100 compat
Projected
129.2 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 3061, 5339, 2508
Auto
38.6 29%
Teleop
58.5 44%
Endgame
37.2 28%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2667, 5822, 11246
56
/ 100 compat
Projected
99.1 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 2667, 5822, 11246
Auto
22.1 20%
Teleop
53.5 50%
Endgame
32.4 30%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.38
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score129.2pts
Blue projected score99.1pts
Red win probability59%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
30
Score range
72156
Upset likelihood
41%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 161 vs event baseline 151.2.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

310.5Season APEX201.1
38.6Auto22.1
58.5Teleop53.5
37.2Endgame32.4
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3318
teleop2931
endgame3317
foul00
total9566

Result

Final score

9566

Prediction correct · off by 33.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.