Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

27.9 – 88.64

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

49 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 45.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 284.1 ±15

2531RoboHawks

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 2.55Rank 40Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3055Furious George

Season APEX 89.5Event APEX -10.38Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

2549Millerbots

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 35.73Rank 35Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 327.4 ±12.9

2667Knights of the Valley

Season APEX 76.1Event APEX 17.5Rank 33Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2220Blue Twilight

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 44.56Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9082No Limit

Season APEX 84.4Event APEX 26.58Rank 24Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2531, 3055, 2549

/ 100 compat

Projected

27.9 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 2531, 3055, 2549

Auto

0.2 1%

Teleop

19.4 72%

Endgame

7.2 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2667, 2220, 9082

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.6 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 2667, 2220, 9082

Auto

13.2 16%

Teleop

39.2 46%

Endgame

32.2 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.14 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score27.9pts

Blue projected score88.6pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -60.7
Score range: 1–116
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 207 vs event baseline 147.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

284.1Season APEX327.4

0.2Auto13.2

19.4Teleop39.2

7.2Endgame32.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	22
teleop	28	96
endgame	14	40
foul	0	0
total	49	158

Result

Final score

49 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 45.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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