Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

80.98 – 68.52

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

262 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 142.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 563.9 ±11.7

3061Huskie Robotics

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 14.62Rank 9Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

111WildStang

Season APEX 241Event APEX 38.11Rank 8Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2987Rogue Robotics

Season APEX 117.7Event APEX 28.25Rank 22Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 353.4 ±16.2

5847Ironclad

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 40.25Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5541Shakopee Sabers

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 14.62Rank 30Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

5339Hurricanes

Provisional

Season APEX 33.7Event APEX 13.65Rank 41Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3061, 111, 2987

/ 100 compat

Projected

81 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 3061, 111, 2987

Auto

32.1 41%

Teleop

34.1 44%

Endgame

11.4 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5847, 5541, 5339

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.5 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 5847, 5541, 5339

Auto

20.4 32%

Teleop

24.9 39%

Endgame

19.2 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score81pts

Blue projected score68.5pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 12.5
Score range: 43–107
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 435 vs event baseline 142.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

563.9Season APEX353.4

32.1Auto20.4

34.1Teleop24.9

11.4Endgame19.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	72	43
teleop	142	74
endgame	43	51
foul	5	5
total	262	173

Result

Final score

262 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 142.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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