Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.15 – 84.44

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

217 – 109

Prediction missed · off by 87.2 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 332 ±15.6

3928Team Neutrino

Season APEX 227.5Event APEX 40.57Rank 5Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3206Royal T-Wrecks

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 8.01Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11246Tiger Byte

Provisional

Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 18.57Rank 38Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 269.4 ±13.9

7858Warriors

Season APEX 87.1Event APEX 30.85Rank 14Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86

9082No Limit

Season APEX 84.4Event APEX 35.02Rank 24Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2290FLYT

Season APEX 97.9Event APEX 18.57Rank 36Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3928, 3206, 11246

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.2 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 3928, 3206, 11246

Auto

13.5 21%

Teleop

34.7 53%

Endgame

17.1 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7858, 9082, 2290

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.4 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 7858, 9082, 2290

Auto

17.8 22%

Teleop

34.5 42%

Endgame

30.4 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score67.2pts

Blue projected score84.4pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -17.3
Score range: 43–108
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 326 vs event baseline 135.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

332Season APEX269.4

13.5Auto17.8

34.7Teleop34.5

17.1Endgame30.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	10
teleop	115	56
endgame	71	38
foul	0	5
total	217	109

Result

Final score

217 – 109

Prediction missed · off by 87.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.