Qualification · Qualification 79

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

63.95 – 159.69

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 21.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 204.2 ±14.5

8878ArrowBot

Season APEX 91.3Event APEX 52.11Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

2574RoboHuskie

Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 7.31Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

6217Bomb-Botz

Season APEX 60Event APEX 4.53Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.3 ±18.1

2264Trojan Robotics

Season APEX 112Event APEX 68.97Rank 10Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

2526Crimson Robotics

Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 45.59Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2498BearBotics

Provisional

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 45.13Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8878, 2574, 6217

/ 100 compat

Projected

64 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 8878, 2574, 6217

Auto

21.9 37%

Teleop

33.6 56%

Endgame

4.0 7%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2264, 2526, 2498

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.7 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 2264, 2526, 2498

Auto

40.2 25%

Teleop

75.4 46%

Endgame

47.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score64pts

Blue projected score159.7pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -95.7
Score range: 37–187
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 225 vs event baseline 148.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

204.2Season APEX281.3

21.9Auto40.2

33.6Teleop75.4

4Endgame47.3

7Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	44
teleop	19	94
endgame	6	44
foul	0	0
total	43	182

Result

Final score

43 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 21.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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