Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

96.92 – 45.23

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

123 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 18.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 243.2 ±19.7

3891Rodeo Robotics

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 59.92Rank 33Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

2498BearBotics

Provisional

Season APEX 89.6Event APEX 36.2Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

2225Rebel Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 61.2Event APEX 0.8Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.9 ±15.6

2207Bright Bears

Provisional

Season APEX 75Event APEX 18.52Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2574RoboHuskie

Season APEX 52.9Event APEX 16.26Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2169KING TeC

Season APEX 117Event APEX 10.45Rank 39Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3891, 2498, 2225

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.9 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3891, 2498, 2225

Auto

19.2 22%

Teleop

33.1 37%

Endgame

36.6 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2207, 2574, 2169

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.2 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 2207, 2574, 2169

Auto

13.9 44%

Teleop

15.7 50%

Endgame

2.1 7%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.9 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score96.9pts

Blue projected score45.2pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 51.7
Score range: 19–123
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 157 vs event baseline 144.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

243.2Season APEX244.9

19.2Auto13.9

33.1Teleop15.7

36.6Endgame2.1

54Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	25
teleop	73	9
endgame	32	0
foul	0	0
total	123	34

Result

Final score

123 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 18.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.