Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

140.43 – 91.32

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

192 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.8 ±15.8

2175The Fighting Calculators

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 32.56Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

3883Data Bits

Season APEX 91.8Event APEX 54.73Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2526Crimson Robotics

Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 53.14Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 234.8 ±18

7273ZooM 7273

Provisional

Season APEX 91Event APEX 25.66Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4166Robostang

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 3.23Rank 43Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3891Rodeo Robotics

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 62.43Rank 33Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2175, 3883, 2526

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.4 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2175, 3883, 2526

Auto

36.3 25%

Teleop

83.9 58%

Endgame

23.7 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7273, 4166, 3891

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.3 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7273, 4166, 3891

Auto

13.8 17%

Teleop

41.2 51%

Endgame

25.3 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score140.4pts

Blue projected score91.3pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 49.1
Score range: 65–166
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 280 vs event baseline 142.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229.8Season APEX234.8

36.3Auto13.8

83.9Teleop41.2

23.7Endgame25.3

66Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	13
teleop	114	38
endgame	44	32
foul	0	5
total	192	88

Result

Final score

192 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.