Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

128.53 – 226.57

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 255

Prediction correct · off by 53.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 236.5 ±15.4

2169KING TeC

Season APEX 117Event APEX 2.37Rank 39Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3691RoboRaiders

Season APEX 61.2Event APEX 64.19Rank 40Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2175The Fighting Calculators

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 61.97Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 449 ±15.6

3291Au Pirates

Provisional

Season APEX 70.4Event APEX 9.8Rank 42Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2549Millerbots

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 51.4Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2052KnightKrawler

Season APEX 267.9Event APEX 165.37Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2169, 3691, 2175

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.5 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2169, 3691, 2175

Auto

22.4 20%

Teleop

74.4 66%

Endgame

16.3 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3291, 2549, 2052

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.6 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 3291, 2549, 2052

Auto

45.9 20%

Teleop

148.5 66%

Endgame

32.0 14%

Strengths

· 2052 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.95 · Blue 2.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score128.5pts

Blue projected score226.6pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -98
Score range: 105–251
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 305 vs event baseline 134.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

236.5Season APEX449

22.4Auto45.9

74.4Teleop148.5

16.3Endgame32

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	60
teleop	35	174
endgame	2	21
foul	0	0
total	50	255

Result

Final score

50 – 255

Prediction correct · off by 53.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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