Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
373.58 – 294.95
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
400 – 297
Prediction correct · off by 14.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 695.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 179.8Event APEX 23.98Rank 27Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 177.85Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 267.9Event APEX 171.75Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 443.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 47.3Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 168.1Event APEX 129.49Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 195.7Event APEX 118.16Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10950, 4655, 2052
80
/ 100 compatProjected
373.6 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 10950, 4655, 2052
Auto
67.9 18%
Teleop
218.4 59%
Endgame
83.4 23%
Strengths
- · 4655 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2526, 3293, 2472
82
/ 100 compatProjected
295 pts
~1.1 RP (regional)
Teams: 2526, 3293, 2472
Auto
51.2 18%
Teleop
150.6 52%
Endgame
85.3 30%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.01 · Blue 1.13
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score373.6pts
Blue projected score295pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 78.6
- Score range
- 267–402
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
695.6Season APEX443.5
67.9Auto51.2
218.4Teleop150.6
83.4Endgame85.3
7Consistency32
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 78 | 52 |
| teleop | 220 | 147 |
| endgame | 87 | 98 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 400 | 297 |
Result
Final score
400 – 297
Prediction correct · off by 14.2 pts
Match videos
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