Minnesota State High School League Championship

Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

232.39 – 201.73

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

357 – 268

Prediction correct · off by 95.4 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches) — wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceΣ Season APEX 412 ±16.3

5913Patriotics

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 34.58Rank 10Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2883F.R.E.D (FIRST Robotics Engineering and Design)

Season APEX 148Event APEX 74.38Rank 11Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11283Melrose Gear Grinders

Provisional

Season APEX 85.9Event APEX 123.43Rank 14Record 4-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 295.1 ±13.4

3130The ERRORs

Season APEX 118.8Event APEX 108.29Rank 25Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3297Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 124.1Event APEX 69.43Rank 5Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3082Chicken Bot Pie

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 24.01Rank 21Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 30.7
Score range: 148–286
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-01
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 625 vs event baseline 301.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

412Season APEX295.1

34.9Auto49.2

134.2Teleop114.1

62.8Endgame37.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	76	80
teleop	186	150
endgame	95	38
foul	0	0
total	357	268

Result

Final score

357 – 268

Prediction correct · score err 95.4

FIRST/TBA score reconciliation:

agree