Minnesota State High School League Championship

Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

308.35 – 210.64

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

346 – 422

Prediction missed · off by 124.5 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 569.6 ±12.4

4674RoboJacks

Season APEX 193Event APEX 83.25Rank 15Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7028Binary Battalion

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 113.14Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7858Warriors

Season APEX 87.1Event APEX 111.96Rank 30Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 683.5 ±10.4

7257Semiconductors

Season APEX 179.4Event APEX 58.29Rank 23Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4728ROCORI Robotics

Season APEX 236.2Event APEX 47.71Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2052KnightKrawler

Season APEX 267.9Event APEX 104.64Rank 4Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4674, 7028, 7858

/ 100 compat

Projected

308.3 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4674, 7028, 7858

Auto

62.6 20%

Teleop

166.1 54%

Endgame

77.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7257, 4728, 2052

/ 100 compat

Projected

210.6 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7257, 4728, 2052

Auto

45.4 22%

Teleop

118.3 56%

Endgame

47.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.52 · Blue 1.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score308.3pts

Blue projected score210.6pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 31%, blue 38%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 97.7
Score range: 159–360
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 768 vs event baseline 289.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

569.6Season APEX683.5

62.6Auto45.4

166.1Teleop118.3

77.2Endgame47.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	91
teleop	186	242
endgame	90	84
foul	15	5
total	346	422

Result

Final score

346 – 422

Prediction missed · off by 124.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree