Minnesota State High School League Championship

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

181.76 – 474.6

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

111 – 596

Prediction correct · off by 96.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198.2 ±14.6

2480Iron Paws

Season APEX 69Event APEX -4.81Rank 36Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

2239Technocrats

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 108.23Rank 18Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3926MPArors

Season APEX 73.5Event APEX 78.34Rank 32Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 711.4 ±10.4

5348Charger Robotics

Season APEX 173.4Event APEX 51.3Rank 19Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6045Sabre Robotics

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 168.4Rank 3Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7028Binary Battalion

Season APEX 289.5Event APEX 254.9Rank 1Record 6-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2480, 2239, 3926

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.8 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2480, 2239, 3926

Auto

44.0 26%

Teleop

83.7 49%

Endgame

44.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5348, 6045, 7028

/ 100 compat

Projected

474.6 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5348, 6045, 7028

Auto

63.1 14%

Teleop

270.3 59%

Endgame

121.2 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score181.8pts

Blue projected score474.6pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 30%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -292.8
Score range: 123–534
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 707 vs event baseline 326.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198.2Season APEX711.4

44Auto63.1

83.7Teleop270.3

44.3Endgame121.2

109Consistency149

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	128
teleop	36	289
endgame	42	169
foul	5	10
total	111	596

Result

Final score

111 – 596

Prediction correct · off by 96.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree