Minnesota State High School League Championship

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

321.93 – 137.09

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

244 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 52.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 431.7 ±13.1

2530Inconceivable

Season APEX 184.6Event APEX 118.07Rank 17Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7797RipSaw Robotics

Season APEX 86.6Event APEX 153.24Rank 20Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

3277ProDigi

Season APEX 160.5Event APEX 50.62Rank 31Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321.2 ±13.5

7858Warriors

Season APEX 87.1Event APEX 32.73Rank 30Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86

2169KING TeC

Season APEX 117Event APEX 28.2Rank 29Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3130The ERRORs

Season APEX 117.1Event APEX 76.16Rank 25Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2530, 7797, 3277

/ 100 compat

Projected

321.9 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2530, 7797, 3277

Auto

58.7 19%

Teleop

162.5 52%

Endgame

92.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7858, 2169, 3130

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.1 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7858, 2169, 3130

Auto

53.5 38%

Teleop

54.5 39%

Endgame

31.5 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.69 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score321.9pts

Blue projected score137.1pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 184.8
Score range: 78–381
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 408 vs event baseline 328.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

431.7Season APEX321.2

58.7Auto53.5

162.5Teleop54.5

92Endgame31.5

129Consistency143

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	91	46
teleop	107	71
endgame	46	47
foul	0	0
total	244	164

Result

Final score

244 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 52.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree