Minnesota State High School League Championship

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

174.46 – 328.14

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

373 – 611

Prediction correct · off by 240.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 517.6 ±10.4

7257Semiconductors

Season APEX 179.4Event APEX 70.58Rank 23Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2530Inconceivable

Season APEX 184.6Event APEX 70.83Rank 17Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3630Stampede

Season APEX 153.6Event APEX 33.05Rank 27Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 560.2 ±13.1

7797RipSaw Robotics

Season APEX 86.6Event APEX 114.3Rank 20Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 80

5913Patriotics

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 94.65Rank 10Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4728ROCORI Robotics

Season APEX 236.2Event APEX 119.19Rank 6Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7257, 2530, 3630

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.5 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7257, 2530, 3630

Auto

73.0 44%

Teleop

66.9 40%

Endgame

26.3 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7797, 5913, 4728

/ 100 compat

Projected

328.1 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7797, 5913, 4728

Auto

50.6 15%

Teleop

195.0 59%

Endgame

84.2 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.22 · Blue 2.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score174.5pts

Blue projected score328.1pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 35%, blue 28%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -153.7
Score range: 118–384
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 984 vs event baseline 310.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

517.6Season APEX560.2

73Auto50.6

66.9Teleop195

26.3Endgame84.2

103Consistency99

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	123
teleop	232	349
endgame	91	139
foul	0	0
total	373	611

Result

Final score

373 – 611

Prediction correct · off by 240.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree