Minnesota State High School League Championship

Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

266.62 – 263.74

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

275 – 330

Prediction missed · off by 37.3 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 464.7 ±11

6045Sabre Robotics

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 109.22Rank 3Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2239Technocrats

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 95.43Rank 18Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3277ProDigi

Season APEX 160.5Event APEX 61.97Rank 31Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 570.7 ±11

2530Inconceivable

Season APEX 184.6Event APEX 95.43Rank 17Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2472Centurions

Season APEX 195.7Event APEX 106.34Rank 13Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5653Iron Mosquitos

Season APEX 190.4Event APEX 61.97Rank 26Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6045, 2239, 3277

/ 100 compat

Projected

266.6 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6045, 2239, 3277

Auto

57.0 21%

Teleop

126.1 47%

Endgame

83.4 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2530, 2472, 5653

/ 100 compat

Projected

263.7 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2530, 2472, 5653

Auto

83.2 31%

Teleop

114.6 43%

Endgame

67.3 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.89 · Blue 2.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score266.6pts

Blue projected score263.7pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample100alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 30%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 2.9
Score range: 210–321
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 605 vs event baseline 302.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

464.7Season APEX570.7

57Auto83.2

126.1Teleop114.6

83.4Endgame67.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	64
teleop	143	132
endgame	52	134
foul	15	0
total	275	330

Result

Final score

275 – 330

Prediction missed · off by 37.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree