Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

190.07 – 189.89

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

218 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 25.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 397 ±12.8

2823The Automatons

Season APEX 115.4Event APEX 97.51Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2846FireBears

Season APEX 210Event APEX 74.17Rank 5Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2508Armada

Season APEX 71.6Event APEX 18.39Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 296.6 ±14.5

7068Mechanical Masterminds

Season APEX 81Event APEX 38.47Rank 9Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 92

4539KAOTIC Robotics

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 69.33Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2509Tigerbots

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 82.09Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2823, 2846, 2508

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.1 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2823, 2846, 2508

Auto

49.7 28%

Teleop

92.2 52%

Endgame

35.8 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7068, 4539, 2509

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.9 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 7068, 4539, 2509

Auto

45.5 24%

Teleop

87.9 47%

Endgame

52.8 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score190.1pts

Blue projected score189.9pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0.2
Score range: 165–215
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 431 vs event baseline 140.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

397Season APEX296.6

49.7Auto45.5

92.2Teleop87.9

35.8Endgame52.8

35Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	71	55
teleop	117	92
endgame	30	61
foul	0	5
total	218	213

Result

Final score

218 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 25.5 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.