Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

228.07 – 157.56

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

185 – 188

Prediction missed · off by 36.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 369 ±12.2

7849Da Vinci's Creation

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 22Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4778Stormbots

Season APEX 123Event APEX 104.68Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2530Inconceivable

Season APEX 184.6Event APEX 101.39Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 311.4 ±13.9

2470Team BJORG

Season APEX 103.6Event APEX 28.1Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2855BEASTBOT

Season APEX 108.3Event APEX 73.12Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4009DNA Robotics

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 56.34Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7849, 4778, 2530

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.1 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 7849, 4778, 2530

Auto

25.5 12%

Teleop

133.9 62%

Endgame

57.3 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2470, 2855, 4009

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.6 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 2470, 2855, 4009

Auto

16.9 11%

Teleop

82.8 55%

Endgame

51.1 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.95 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score228.1pts

Blue projected score157.6pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 70.5
Score range: 133–253
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 373 vs event baseline 137.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

369Season APEX311.4

25.5Auto16.9

133.9Teleop82.8

57.3Endgame51.1

23Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	34
teleop	88	80
endgame	63	39
foul	0	35
total	185	188

Result

Final score

185 – 188

Prediction missed · off by 36.8 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.