Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

75.13 – 313.08

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 51.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 190.1 ±17.7

3454Z Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 72.4Event APEX 30.65Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

8422Husky Howlers

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 32.07Rank 44Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2450Wind Chill

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 12.41Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 510 ±11.7

2823The Automatons

Season APEX 115.4Event APEX 113.98Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2846FireBears

Season APEX 210Event APEX 90.66Rank 5Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2530Inconceivable

Season APEX 184.6Event APEX 108.44Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3454, 8422, 2450

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.1 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 3454, 8422, 2450

Auto

20.7 28%

Teleop

36.1 49%

Endgame

16.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2823, 2846, 2530

/ 100 compat

Projected

313.1 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2823, 2846, 2530

Auto

62.0 20%

Teleop

180.6 59%

Endgame

65.9 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.59 · Blue 2.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score75.1pts

Blue projected score313.1pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -237.9
Score range: 51–337
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 286 vs event baseline 134.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

190.1Season APEX510

20.7Auto62

36.1Teleop180.6

16.2Endgame65.9

24Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	27
teleop	25	153
endgame	13	59
foul	0	0
total	47	239

Result

Final score

47 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 51.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.