Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
66.42 – 66.42
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
54 – 183
Prediction missed · off by 64.5 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 308.4 ±13.5
Season APEX 139Event APEX -Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.4Event APEX -Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 103Event APEX -Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 375.4 ±12.8
Season APEX 211.6Event APEX -Rank 4Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 102.4Event APEX -Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.4Event APEX -Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3082, 2450, 8234
50
/ 100 compatProjected
66.4 pts
~1.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 3082, 2450, 8234
Auto
19.9 30%
Teleop
33.2 50%
Endgame
13.3 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3297, 4663, 7849
50
/ 100 compatProjected
66.4 pts
~1.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 3297, 4663, 7849
Auto
19.9 30%
Teleop
33.2 50%
Endgame
13.3 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.52
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score66.4pts
Blue projected score66.4pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 42–90
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
308.4Season APEX375.4
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 21 |
| teleop | 25 | 94 |
| endgame | 8 | 63 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 54 | 183 |
Result
Final score
54 – 183
Prediction missed · off by 64.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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