Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

39.42 – 166.68

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 23.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 215.4 ±17.7

4229Magnetech

Provisional

Season APEX 59.9Event APEX 2.38Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2531RoboHawks

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 16.29Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2508Armada

Season APEX 71.6Event APEX 20.75Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 376.4 ±14.1

7068Mechanical Masterminds

Season APEX 81Event APEX 31.78Rank 9Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 92

7850Bio-Bots

Season APEX 83.8Event APEX 13.92Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3297Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 211.6Event APEX 120.98Rank 4Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4229, 2531, 2508

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.4 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 4229, 2531, 2508

Auto

24.4 53%

Teleop

10.8 24%

Endgame

10.6 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7068, 7850, 3297

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.7 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7068, 7850, 3297

Auto

41.1 24%

Teleop

88.8 52%

Endgame

40.5 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score39.4pts

Blue projected score166.7pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -127.3
Score range: 15–191
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 253 vs event baseline 136.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

215.4Season APEX376.4

24.4Auto41.1

10.8Teleop88.8

10.6Endgame40.5

0Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	57
teleop	30	86
endgame	18	29
foul	0	15
total	66	187

Result

Final score

66 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 23.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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