Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

257.27 – 203.93

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

239 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 447.3 ±13.5

4663Cyber Tigers

Season APEX 102.4Event APEX 62.38Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7850Bio-Bots

Season APEX 83.8Event APEX 15.02Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2491NoMythic

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 179.87Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 405.1 ±16.9

7235Red Lake Ogichidaag

Season APEX 88.9Event APEX 26.96Rank 48Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 88

4174Mustang Robotics

Season APEX 253.3Event APEX 167.92Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4277Thingamajiggers

Provisional

Season APEX 62.9Event APEX 9.05Rank 45Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4663, 7850, 2491

/ 100 compat

Projected

257.3 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 4663, 7850, 2491

Auto

39.6 16%

Teleop

130.1 54%

Endgame

73.2 30%

Strengths

· 2491 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7235, 4174, 4277

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.9 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7235, 4174, 4277

Auto

43.8 24%

Teleop

108.1 58%

Endgame

33.8 18%

Strengths

· 4174 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score257.3pts

Blue projected score203.9pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 53.3
Score range: 179–282
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 459 vs event baseline 138.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

447.3Season APEX405.1

39.6Auto43.8

130.1Teleop108.1

73.2Endgame33.8

60Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	27
teleop	106	116
endgame	82	72
foul	15	5
total	239	220

Result

Final score

239 – 220

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.