Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

204.99 – 53.69

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

246 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 20.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 359.6 ±12.2

2509Tigerbots

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 84.69Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2530Inconceivable

Season APEX 184.6Event APEX 96.31Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7530Raiders of the Lost Spark

Season APEX 67.3Event APEX 23.99Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188.4 ±17.3

5929Raider Robotics

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 17.39Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

4207PyroBotics

Provisional

Season APEX 60.6Event APEX 28.19Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2239Technocrats

Season APEX 55.7Event APEX 8.11Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2509, 2530, 7530

/ 100 compat

Projected

205 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 2509, 2530, 7530

Auto

51.4 25%

Teleop

104.5 51%

Endgame

48.5 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5929, 4207, 2239

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.7 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 5929, 4207, 2239

Auto

23.4 59%

Teleop

5.0 13%

Endgame

11.1 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score205pts

Blue projected score53.7pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 151.3
Score range: 28–231
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 300 vs event baseline 145.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

359.6Season APEX188.4

51.4Auto23.4

104.5Teleop5

48.5Endgame11.1

24Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	22
teleop	141	12
endgame	51	20
foul	0	0
total	246	54

Result

Final score

246 – 54

Prediction correct · off by 20.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.